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Chizz The Season To Be Jolly

The 2016 PDC World Championship Darts starts on Thursday 17th of December, and champion tipster Cookie takes a look at the runners and riders.

Howdie GoO fans, it's been a while since I’ve written any preview, but with one of my favorite events coming up I thought I would spend some time doing a quick blog regarding my thoughts on this years World Championship that kicks off at the Ally Pally on Thursday 17.

 

The first thing to strike me is that MvG is a frighteningly short priced favorite at 11/10 suggesting he has a 47% win chance according to the bookmakers. Whilst it's fair to say that Van Gerwen has had an impressive haul this year, to make the betting all but a coin toss just doesn't seem right to me. Michael is also likely to face RvB in the 2nd round and Bunting in the 3rd, so if he is to win, he will have to do it the hard way, so we're going to have a look at some of the potential value in the market.

 

Phil Taylor

Phil has been a class act, and it would be most Taylor like to win this championship at a time when once again he seems to have been written off by many, but at 9/2 I'd rather be against him than with him.

 

Gary Anderson

Gary won the Premier League back in May, but he hasn't been back at his best recently, and there still has to be enough of a doubt about his doubling, whilst his double hitting isn't the issue it once was, he sits outside of the top 10 in the doubling averages this year. The one up side is that Gary has a very favourable draw, and is unlikely to come accross any stiff opposition until the Quarters on new year’s day. I can't see Gary heading out before the new year, but I wouldn't fancy him strongly against a lot of the top contenders. 

 

Adrian Lewis

On his day Lewis is clearly exceptional, but there haven't been many of those days this year. There is little in his price at 16/1 that interests me other than a fairly straight forwards route to the quarters, but I expect that’s where the road will probably end (and I wouldn’t even rule out an early "shock" exit). 

 

James Wade

I've always been a big fan of Wade, and at 20/1 I could see there being some value, but I've walked this path too many times, and unfortunately James can often be beaten by himself as much as his opponent. I will dodge James this time, but would be more than pleased to see him win. 

 

Peter Wright

To get to new year’s day Peter has to beat a very capable Keegan Brown in the 1st round, and if he gets far enough the Justin Pipe in the 3rd round would be the kind of match Wright just wouldn't be able to get going in. Not for me. 

 

Dave Chisnall

This is the 1st of the selections I'm really keen on. Chizzy has the 3rd best average on tour this season at a touch over 100 and a draw that gives him every chance to go deep. I fancy him to edge out Peter Wright and Adrian Lewis in his section of the draw should it come to it, and expect to see some Chizzy Rascal in the new year. 

 

Michael Smith

Has the potential, but does he have the attitude? I'm not sure, if Michael gets his concentration then he can one day be a top player, I'm not convinced he has the consistency at the moment. 

 

Raymond van Barneveld

There's no doubting Barney picks up his game for the majors, but I fear he has to pick it up from as very low base line on this occasion. He's just not competitive enough consistently enough to win another Worlds. 

 

Robert Thornton

This is my other selection. Robert has the potential to run incredibly hot, and whilst you would want consistency from any selection I think Robert has such a favorable draw, I can only see Taylor in his quarter to cause him any issues. The Thorn has already won a major 2 months back at the World Grand Prix beating MvG 5-4 in the final and at 66/1 I would be more than happy to have a small interest. 

 

Other Interests:

 

Stephen Bunting has a stinker of a draw, he's likely facing Barney in the 2nd round then MvG in the 3rd, but at 125/1 you're at least getting a very good player at a very big price. 

Keegan Brown won't likely go off at 200/1 in many events in the upcoming seasons. Is Keegan this years likely winner, no. Is he a value bet at 200/1, yes. 

 

Staking Plan:

2 Points Each Way Dave Chisnall 33/1

2 Points Each Way Robert Thornton 66/1

0.5 Point Each Way Stephen Bunting 125/1

0.5 Point Each Way Keegan Brown 200/1

 

Other Markets:

 

To Win 1st Quarter:  1 Point Stephen Bunting 25/1

To Win 2nd Quarter: 1 Point Dave Chisnall 7/2

To Win 4th Quarter: 1 Point Robert Thornton 7/1

Most 180's: 1 Point Dave Chisnall 8/1


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