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Premier League Week 7 Preview & Betting Tips

Premier League Week 7 Preview and Betting Tips

Our resident tipster Cookie is showing good profit in the Premier League so far with his football betting tips. Read on to find out this week's suggested winners. And remember to sign up to Game of Odds if you haven't already to put your football knowledge and predictions to the test!

Hull v Crystal Palace

Hull have looked an interesting side to watch, and they have got a decent enough set of players there, but something isn’t quite going right for them of late. They have won just one of their last 11 premier league matches since the FA Cup semi-final win last April (losing 6 along the way) and have not won any of their last 5 home matches. On the flip side to this you have Palace who have not lost one of their last seven premier league away matches. Snodgrass misses the game for Hull and there are question marks over Meyler, McGregor and Ramirez; Palace have a fully fit squad to select from.

Outcome:

Should be a close game this, and one that the draw price is tempting. But what perhaps is more tempting is the 3/1 about Palace, so a play on this and also the DNB Crystal Palace.

Selections:

£400 Crystal Palace – 11/4

£800 Crystal Palace Draw No Bet – 6/4

 

Leicester v Burnley

This was obviously a Championship fixture last season and one where the spoils were shared in with a 1-1 draw played out at Leicester’s King Power Stadium. These two sides have had differing starts to the season however, with Leicester amassing an impressive 8 points from some very tricky opening fixtures; whilst Burnley have just 3 points and are yet to win. It is up front where the differences are, and this is shown with Burnley only scoring from just 2% of their shots this season, whilst Leicester’s 23% is only behind Chelsea in the league’s most deadly finishing. Leicester remain without Matthew Upson whilst Burnley are without Vokes and Ings and have questions over Jones, Marney, Jutiewicz and Taylor.

Outcome:

Leicester are obviously right to be favourites, but 4/5 is incredibly short, so I will take a play on Burnley or a Draw on the Double chance and a draw at Half Time.

Selection:

£400 Burnely Or Draw – Double Chance – 11/10

£400 Half Time Result – Draw – 11/10

 

Liverpool v West Brom

A Liverpool side struggling to find the form of last season host a West Brom side that are starting to bear the fruit of their potential. After a run of 40 points from a possible 42 at Anfield, Liverpool have won just two of their last five home premier league matches and have kept just one clean sheet in 12 premier league matches. Both teams are missing plenty of players, with Liverpool without Can, Flanagan, Allen and Sakho with questions over Johnson and Sturridge. West Brom go without Pocognoli, Baird, Ideye, Anichebe, Varela and Wisdom.

Outcome:

As far as pricing goes this is one of the more confusing games of the weekend. Take a team that haven’t looked great this season winning just one of their last 5 fixtures; throw into the mix the fact they had a European midweek game (which they lost), then put them against a side that sit higher than them in the league and have won their last 2 league games and apparently that makes them a 2/5 shot if you’re a bookmaker.

Selections:

£400 West Brom – 13/2 

£400 Half Time Result – West Brom 5/1

£400 Double Chance – West Brom or Draw – 7/4

£740 Anytime Goalscorer – Berahino – 4/1

£880 Both Teams To Score – Yes – 8/11

 

Sunderland v Stoke

With respect to both of these teams, this isn’t the most exciting of weekend fixtures, but both teams will do their best to spice this one up with a red card in four of the last five premier league meetings between these two; unfortunately there has been only six goals in these five games. Sunderland are without Sebastian Coates and possibly without Wes Brown and Giaccherini whilst Stoke go without Geoff Cameron, Odemwingie and possibly Diouf and Walters.

Outcome:

You would have to think this has every chance of being a low scorer, and there is probably a touch of value in Sunderland, so a couple of plays to suit these hopes.

Selections:

£600 Sunderland – 6/4

£600 Sunderland Win To Nil – 11/4

 

Swansea v Newcastle

Alan Pardew may well still be hanging on by a thread up in the North East, and I for one feel a little bit for him in regards to the results he’s had this season. Newcastle haven’t been as bad as the points returns suggests and on Monday night they lost a game where they had 56% possession and more shots away from home. This will be a tough test for Newcastle however against a Swansea team that have won the last 4 Premier League fixtures between these two. Swansea will be without Britton and Amat through injury and Angel Rangel through suspension whilst Newcastle are without Santon, Taylor, de Jong, Aarons, Campbell and Ferreyra.

Outcome:

My ratings would make Newcastle about a 9/5 shot, and at 7/2 there is probably value here, but I’m not sure I’m feeling it, so just a small play on Newcastle win and double chance.

Selections:

£200 Newcastle – 7/2

£330 Newcastle or Draw – Double Chance – 10/11

 

Aston Villa v Man City

I’m going to brush through this one pretty quickly, because Aston Villa are not very good, Man City are, but Man City are a 1/2 shot away from home against a team that have shown a fairly regular track record of upsetting the apple cart against some of the bigger teams.

Outcome:

Man City should not be a bet at 1/2 under any circumstances in this game, Aston Villa you could make a case for at 6/1, but I’m not interested, so this game is a no bet.

Selections:

No Bet

 

Man U v Everton

BT have hopefully got themselves a pretty decent game here for the first of the live matches on Sunday afternoon. Only four players have ever scored a hat-trick in the Barclays Premier League against Manchester United and two of them could play for Everton in this match: Samuel Eto'o and Romelu Lukaku. Another quirky stat is that Everton have lost 299 Premier League games, which is more than any other team in the competition, the bookmakers make it odds on they chalk up 300 on Sunday. With the players missing from both teams you could make a mid-table Premier league team, and they read: Man U Lingard, Young, Wilson, Evans, Smalling, Herrera through injury, Rooney through suspension and doubts over Fellaini, Carrick and Jones. Everton go without Barkley, Mirallas and have doubts over Distin, Coleman, Pienaar and McCarthy.

Outcome:

For starters you would imagine Both Teams To Score is nailed on here, but at 4/7 you’re not exactly catching anyone sleeping. Also Over 2.5 doesn’t seem any value at 8/15, indeed the over 3.5 goals market is only 11/8. I just can’t see a play here, all the obvious angles are just TOO obvious!

Selection:

No Bet

 

Chelsea v Arsenal

Over to Sky Sports for the real feast of the weekend, a real belter in prospect here as an Arsenal team fresh of the back of a good midweek champions league victory head to the bridge to take on José’s rampant Chelsea. Just 6 games into the season and this Chelsea side already have 9 different goal scorers in the premier league and one of those already has 8. The last time these two sides met was Arsene Wenger's 1000th competitive game in charge of Arsenal and turned out to be his heaviest defeat (0-6).

Outcome:

Chelsea are a touch too short to really get involved in at 4/6 it’s pretty hard to justify making that a selection. I do expect there to be goals in this game, and again so do the bookmakers with the over 2.5 market prices at 8/11 – but this may still be value. Chelsea winning to Nil I think holds some value at 15/8 against an Arsenal side that have at times been sluggish away from home.

Selections:

£1100 Over 2.5 goals – 8/11

£800 Over 3.5 goals – 7/4

£800 Chelsea Win To Nil – 15/8

 

Tottenham v Southampton

Pochettino comes up against his former club (if not many of the players) in a game that’s criminally not on TV. Spurs have lost their last two home Premier League games. The last time they lost three in a row on home soil was in September 2008 under Juande Ramos. Southampton have had a far superior start to the season in both results and expectation and find themselves in the dizzy heights of second place in the table at the moment, and you could really make a case that the betting in this game should be a lot closer based on form and the current league table. Spurs go into this game without the injured Kyle Walker, whilst Southampton will be without Rodriguez, Ward-Prowse and will have to wait on Gallagher, Yoshida and Gardos.

Outcome:

One of these teams is playing well above expectations, and one is playing well under. The one that is playing under is 6/5 favourite for this game. The pricing of this match doesn’t make any sense on the form of these two teams, so I am more than happy to have a play on Southampton.

Selection:

£750 Southampton – 12/5

 

West Ham vs QPR

After the early feast of football on Sunday Sky bring you very much a case of “after the lord mayors show” in a scrap between two pony sides. Harry Redknapp has overseen just 12 goals in 15 Premier League away games as The R's boss and with a West Ham team that are capable of scoring QPR could be up against it here. Both sides are missing some players, but lets be honest, they’re all rubbish.

Outcome:

I don’t even know how this one goes, but probably a West Ham win (I hope not as I’ve backed them for relegation) but I couldn’t back a team as bad as they are at odds on, in spite of how terrible QPR are.

Selection:

No Bet – don’t watch this game, take the dog for a walk or creosote the fence.

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Mike Bell

Mike Bell
Thu 24 Mar 2016 09:50

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